Meehl, Paul E.: Clinical versus Statistical Prediction

A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence. 6th Printing. Meehl's famous examination of benefits and disutilities related to the different ways of combining information to make predictions - a clarifying analysis as relevant today as when it first appeared in 1954. A major methodological problem for clinical psychology concerns the relation between clinical and actuarial methods of arriving at diagnoses and predicting behavior. Without prejudging the question as to whether these methods are fundamentally different, we can at least set forth the obvious distinctions between them in practical applications. The problem is to predict how a person is going to behave: What is the most accurate way to go about this task? Meehl's study offers a penetrating and thorough look at the pros and cons of human judgment versus actuarial integration of information as applied to the prediction problem. X,149 Seiten, gebunden (University of Minnesota Press 1966) leichte Gebrauchsspuren, Seiten etwas nachgedunkelt, Schutzumschlag etwas beschädigt, Namenszug auf Vorsatz/minor traces of use, pages somewhat browned, dust cover somewhat damaged, signature on front endpaper

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